I’m tardier than some in posting reports from the 2007 NY Prediction Market Conference (where I moderated a very short panel). Please forgive … and without further adieu, here’s item #1. Content, Does it Matter to a Contract’s Price? Robin Hanson took a question from the audience that went something like this (if I recall [...]
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How to read the TED Spread: A higher spread indicates less faith in the strength of the banks. Typical spread is between 10 and 40 basis points. On September 17, 2008, the TED spread exceeded 300 bps. (Wikipedia)
How to read the Baltic Dry Index: Tracks the price of shipping worldwide. Increasing prices mean there is more worldwide activity. (Wikipedia)Polls
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